The San Diego State Aztecs aim to wrap up their unforeseen run in the NCAA Tournament with a national title when they meet the Connecticut Huskies in the 2023 NCAA national championship game on Monday. The Aztecs pulled off their biggest surprise when they upset top-seeded Alabama in the Sweet 16 and followed with back-to-back one-point triumphs over Creighton and Florida Atlantic, putting them in position to win the first national championship in program history. UConn (30-8) is seeking its fifth title and first since 2014 after cruising past Miami 72-59 in the Final Four for its fifth straight double-digit victory.
Tipoff at NRG Stadium in Houston, Tex. is set for 9:20 p.m. ET on CBS. The Huskies are 7.5-point favorites in the latest UConn vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 131.5. Before making any San Diego State vs. UConn picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA national championship game 85-55 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,600 for $100 players. It's also gone 6-2 on top-rated picks thus far during March Madness. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UConn vs. San Diego State and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the 2023 NCAA national championship game. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for SDSU vs. UConn:
- UConn vs. San Diego State spread: Huskies -7.5
- UConn vs. San Diego State over/under: 131.5 points
- UConn vs. San Diego State money line: Huskies -360, Aztecs +280
- UCONN: The Huskies are 21-6 against the spread in their last 27 NCAA Tournament games
- SDSU: The Aztecs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 overall contests
- UConn vs. San Diego State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why UConn can cover
The Huskies haven't had much difficulty during March Madness, winning each of their first five games by double figures and outscoring their opponents by an average of 20.6 points. The No. 4 seed in the West Region, UConn is the lowest-seeded team in history to post five double-digit victories in a single NCAA Tournament and only the fourth non-No. 1 seed to accomplish the feat. Adama Sanogo hit the 20-point mark for the third time in five games on Saturday as he led all players with 21 on 9-of-11 shooting.
The junior forward also pulled down 10 rebounds for his ninth double-double of the season and third of the Tournament. Sophomore guard Jordan Hawkins was the only other player in double figures against the Hurricanes as he finished with 13 points. Senior guard Tristen Newton dished out eight assists -- two fewer than the entire Miami roster -- while freshman forward Alex Karaban notched eight points and nine boards. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why San Diego State can cover
Overcoming a deficit at intermission has not been a difficult chore for the Aztecs as they have won the last six games in which they trailed at the half and eight of 10 this season. The club was behind by seven points at halftime on Saturday and as many as 14 in the second half before it battled back to tie the game and ultimately defeat the Owls 72-71 on Lamont Butler's buzzer-beating jump shot. It was the second game-winning basket as time expired this campaign for the junior guard, who also made one on Feb. 25 at New Mexico.
Matt Bradley hit four 3-pointers against Florida Atlantic and led San Diego State with 21 points. It was Bradley's fourth 20-point performance of the season, the seventh by an Aztec in an NCAA Tournament contest and the second in this year's competition as fellow senior guard Darrion Trammell also scored 21 points versus Alabama. Senior forward Jaedon LeDee has scored in double figures in two of his last three contests as he came off the bench Saturday to post 12 points and six rebounds after also recording 12 points against the Crimson Tide. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make San Diego State vs. UConn picks
The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 137 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UConn vs. San Diego State? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.
